There is no doubt that Bitcoin has permanently altered the investment landscape.
Bitcoin has achieved annualised returns of 78.1% over the last 7 years at the cost of similar annualised volatility. When played cautiously, Bitcoin can represent one of the best risk-reward plays for investors seeking uncorrelated alternative assets in their portfolio.
ETC Group research shows that even a small Bitcoin allocation of 3% in a traditional 60/40 portfolio can increase the internal rate of return over five years by up to 73%[1].
But not all products to access Bitcoin are equal.
Bitcoin ETPs - often imitated, never duplicated
In the three years since ETC Group launched the ETC Group Physical Bitcoin (BTCE), the amount of Bitcoin held by funds and exchange traded products (ETPs) has increased by 300,000 BTC.
The total AUM held by funds and ETPs has more than tripled from $6.2bn to $20.7bn while more than 100 crypto ETPs have come to market since the launch of BTCE.
ETPs: The most secure route to Bitcoin exposure
As the 2023 Trackinsight Global ETF Survey notes: “A comparative analysis of all implementation solutions available to investors to gain exposure to the spot price of cryptocurrencies shows that ETPs present the most secure and economical route…The growing appetite for ETPs over the last three years is a clear sign that there is an inherent need to protect the end investors and their assets.”
BTCE was created to put a regulatory wrapper around Bitcoin so that investors could get exposure to the cryptocurrency in the most recognisable and regulated manner.
Most liquid Bitcoin ETP
Data from Deutsche Börse XETRA, the primary listing venue and one of several European stock exchanges on which BTCE trades, shows that the physically-backed Bitcoin ETP has been the most traded exchange traded product from January 2023 to May 2023.
In March 2023, the order book turnover for BTCE on Xetra was €164.74m, three times more than its nearest competitor, and almost €60m higher than the largest fixed income product.
The five largest trading days on Xetra for BTCE since inception range from €121.4m to €174.4m.
Counted in US dollars, the total trading volume for BTCE on Deutsche Börse XETRA since launch is more than $13.8 billion.
The closest thing to a risk-free trade in Bitcoin — trading the basis with futures — is a popular arbitrage strategy which sees traders buy spot Bitcoin (or a highly liquid associated product like BTCE), while simultaneously selling long-dated Bitcoin futures, collecting ‘risk-free’ premium.
Because of its deep liquidity profile, BTCE seems to have become the instrument of choice for hedge funds and other institutions making this type of trade.
Sweat-free Bitcoin ETP
ETPs that allow the lending of their underlying assets are in an objectively higher counterparty risk position than those that do not.
This was most notably researched in Crypto ETPs: Why Structure Matters, which explained how investors could be exposed to undue risk when crypto funds and ETPs lend out underlying assets.
BTCE’s structure and prospectus do not allow lending of its underlying assets, and investors have a legal claim to the Bitcoin backing it, should the issuer ever go out of business.
BTCE also benefits from a “bankruptcy remote” product structure, which segregates the underlying assets in the ETP. This means that even if the issuer becomes insolvent, the assets in the ETP are unaffected, giving investors the peace of mind they need to invest or trade with confidence.
An independent trustee holds a security interest in the underlying assets on investors’ behalf, which means that BTCE investors face no issuer default risk.
In the three years since BTCE launched in June 2020, the exchange rate of a single Bitcoin has almost tripled from $9,000 to $26,000.
The assets under management of Europe’s first centrally cleared Bitcoin product have similarly grown from zero to $429 million and in terms of underlying assets from 0 to 16,247 BTC kept in cold storage custody (as of June 19th 2023).
And while the next three years are bound to produce much volatility in crypto markets, BTCE will continue to be the backbone of this market, running like clockwork in the background.
Notes
[1] Performance data for
the period of 02.01.2018-02.01.2023. Past
performance is no guarantee of future performance.
Important information:
This article does not constitute investment advice, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy financial products. This article is for general informational purposes only, and there is no explicit or implicit assurance or guarantee regarding the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of this article or the opinions contained therein. It is advised not to rely on the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of this article or the opinions contained therein. Please note that this article is neither investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to acquire financial products or cryptocurrencies.
Before investing in crypto ETPs, potentional investors should consider the following:
Potential investors should seek independent advice and consider relevant information contained in the base prospectus and the final terms for the ETPs, especially the risk factors mentioned therein. The invested capital is at risk, and losses up to the amount invested are possible. The product is subject to inherent counterparty risk with respect to the issuer of the ETPs and may incur losses up to a total loss if the issuer fails to fulfill its contractual obligations. The legal structure of ETPs is equivalent to that of a debt security. ETPs are treated like other securities.
